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Bonds Rally on Oil Hopes as Fed Meeting Nears

Name: Progress Lending, LLC
Telephone: (602) 780-2939

Mortgage bonds and MBS surge +36bps today on falling oil prices and Strait of Hormuz optimism, boosting pricing ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Volatile week expected with PPI data. Get float/lock guidance for March 17, 2026 market update.

Kevin Kelly, Senior Mortgage Advisor

Progress Lending, LLC

Phone: (602) 780-2939

Email: [email protected]

NMLS# 245238

Company NMLS# 2326329

Licensed in: AZ, CA

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Bonds Rally on Oil Hopes as Fed Meeting Nears

March 17, 2026

Mortgage bonds and MBS are rallying sharply this Tuesday, March 17, 2026, reversing Friday's late sell-off. Falling oil prices, fueled by hopes of the Strait of Hormuz reopening, have driven this positive momentum. With the FOMC meeting tomorrow, market volatility remains high.

Bonds advanced +36bps, while MBS gained +23bps, improving mortgage pricing by approximately 0.125 points. This uptick follows optimism around declining oil prices amid geopolitical developments. Key data releases like PPI and the FOMC decision on Wednesday could trigger significant swings. Loan officers note a volatile week ahead, urging caution in positioning.

Improving mortgage pricing amid today's bond rally supports better affordability trends for potential homebuyers. While specific housing inventory data is unavailable, lower pricing pressures from rallying MBS can ease monthly payments. This environment highlights the importance of monitoring rate movements closely. Affordability remains a focal point as markets react to broader economic signals.

Homebuyers may benefit from today's improved pricing but should consider locking in soon given upcoming volatility. Sellers could see increased buyer interest if trends hold, though FOMC outcomes may shift dynamics. Float/lock guidance recommends locking 7-day and 15-day commitments, while floating 30-day and longer. This strategy balances risk in a high-stakes week.

Today's bond rally offers a bright spot, but the Fed meeting looms large. Staying informed on these shifts is crucial for timely decisions. Professional guidance can navigate the uncertainties effectively.